Our politician friends in
Hartford are trying to kill mass transit in Connecticut, worsen our air quality
and increase traffic, all in a move that contradicts public policy.
They want to cut
train service on Metro-North and Shore Line East railroads.
As early as this fall CDOT’s
budget cuts would see Metro-North reduce service from 309 daily trains in
Connecticut to just 260, cutting back from 100% of pre-pandemic service to just
86%. Though peak-hour trains would not
be cut (for now), off-peak service would go from once an hour to every 90
minutes.
Shore Line East, still only at
66% of pre-pandemic service, would be pared back to 40%, cutting all mid-day
service Monday through Friday.
WHY THE CUTS ?: Even before COVID, every train in
service lost money and was subsidized by funds in the Special Transportation
Fund. Post-pandemic, the ridership has
come back much too slowly, increasing the per-passenger, per-trip taxpayer
subsidy to unsustainable levels:
BRANCH |
PRE-COVID
SUBSIDY PER PASSENGER, PER RIDE |
CURRENT
SUBSIDY PER PASSENGER, PER RIDE |
RIDERSHIP
NOW VS PRE-COVID |
Main
Line of MNR |
$ 3.25 |
$ 5.38 |
70.5% |
Danbury
Branch |
$ 17.04 |
NA |
NA |
Waterbury
Branch |
$ 24.46 |
NA |
NA |
Shore
Line East |
$ 49.52 |
$ 131.87 |
32.8% |
Hartford
Line |
$ 55.70 |
$ 58.99 |
80.4% |
Commuter advocates would argue
that one reason ridership hasn’t come back stronger since the pandemic is that
service (especially on Shore Line East) wasn’t restored to the old level. They say that the way to cut the subsidy is
to increase service and get ridership back. Cutting service, they argue, would only cut
passenger loads further, increasing the losses.
THE DEATH SPIRAL: Reducing train service only sends mass
transit into an inevitable “death spiral”:
fewer trains discourages ridership… fewer riders equals higher subsidies…
leading to more service cuts. As
ridership further erodes there will be the inevitable calls for shutting down service
completely, which we’ve heard in the past (under Gov Rowland) when the
subsidy was much, much lower.
PUBLIC POLICY: Governor
Lamont has set a lofty goal of reducing “vehicle miles traveled” and greenhouse
gas emissions in Connecticut by 5% by 2030.
He’s directed CDOT to do this by increasing the frequency of mass
transit. The Governor is also promoting
TOD, transit oriented development.
But what developer wants to
build housing, luxury or affordable, next to a train station with less and less
train service? And why are all of the legislature’s
zoning reform bills also tied to TOD if they’re going to kill the trains?She won't be smiling when her train gets killed
We just added shiny new M8
cars to Shore Line East and increased train frequency on the Waterbury branch…
and now they want to cut service? And
whatever happened to Lamont’s dream of “30-30-30”, faster trains: faster, maybe, but fewer for certain?
HARTFORD POLITICS ?: Of
course, all of this is tied to the budget negotiations as the legislative
session comes down to the wire. Maybe,
just maybe, all of these train cuts are just a bargain chip?
But I’ve seen this movie
before and I don’t like the way it turns out.
The railroads have told us they’re making serious plans for these service
cuts and this is not a drill.
So if you care about your
commute, now would be the time to ask your elected
officials what the heck they’re doing… and why they want to kill your
trains.