When I read two very different news stories about our trains last week, Charles Dickens came to mind:
“It was the best of
times, it was the worst of times… it was the spring of hope, it was the winter
of despair.” – A Tale of Two Cities
Oh, it’s our winter of our despair,
alright, especially for Metro-North when the NY Times last Friday so cogently summarized
the commuter line’s near-term future as being “Devastated by
Remote Work”, almost verbatim repeating my
predictions of one year ago: commuters
are not coming back.
Late in 2021 the weekday ridership on Metro-North
peaked at about 50% of pre-COVID numbers but has now slid back to about
37%. Sure, you can blame Omicron, but
the shift is so much more fundamental:
the very nature of work is now different and always will be: there’s no longer a need to go to work to do
your work.
Former daily commuters told the Times
they don’t miss their daily three-hour ride or their $500 monthly tickets. Many have even closed their NYC offices for
good and say they are reveling in saving time and money.
The railroad claims it’s “incentivizing”
hybrid commuters to come back to the city by offering lower, more flexible
fares. But listen to commuters
and they say it’s less the cost of the ride than its slow speed (and lack of
mask-wearing enforcement) that’s keeping them home; so if they must go into the
city a few days a week, they do so by car.
As the Times reported, Metro-North’s
parent, MTA, took in $346 million from commuters in 2019. In 2021 that was down to $49 million. Pre-COVID the railroad was losing money when
trains were standing room only. With
ridership cut by two-thirds, what happens when Federal bailout money dries up?
The worst of times, the winter of
despair, indeed.
But what then was the love-fest that
broke the darkness on Friday
afternoon in New Haven’s Union Station? What drew the media to hear Elm City Mayor
Elicker, US Senators Blumenthal and Murphy, CDOT Commissioner Guilietti and
Governor Lamont who all juggled their calendars to all talk trains? Why, a visit of Amtrak’s new
CEO Stephen Gardner, just three days into his new job!
The media event was a rail advocate’s
fantasy with all the talk of faster, more frequent service facilitated by huge
Federal investments in bridges and track.
The pols were falling and fawning over each other seeing who could
promise more.
Ironically there was no “news” at this
news conference, just a reprise of promises with no improvements yet to point
to.
But like the cool kids in high school
who decided to have a party, some of those less-loved and not as cool were
noticeably absent: anyone from
Metro-North or the MTA.
While some who wanted to attend (like
pro-rail Congresswoman Rosa DeLauro) but couldn’t be there were noted in their
absence, not a word was spoken about Metro-North President Catherine Rinaldi or
acting MTA Chair Janno Lieber… the very people Connecticut pays to run our
trains. Why?
Truly, a tale of two railroads in a
spring of hope and all-too frigid winter of dark despair.
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